NBA predictions, best bets today (2/23): Cavaliers, Pelicans highlight picks against the spread and moneyline | Sporting News (2024)

The NBA's All-Star Weekend — and all of the Ws and Ls that came with it — has come and gone, and now comes the home stretch of the 2023-24 season. With just a little over 30 percent of the regular-season campaign remaining and fantastic parity across the league, there has never been a better time to bet NBA moneylines and spreads on BetMGM.

We've been highlighting our favorite NBA player propsfor months, but from this point forward we have decided to also start unveiling our favorite bets on the moneyline and against the spread.

MORE NBA BETTING:
Top props for Friday night |

Anyone who has followed our picks and props this season knows that we're smoking hot, hitting on well over 60 percent of our best bets on the year. Let's carry that momentum into the weekend, as we blast into a solid 10-game slate of Friday night action.

Here are the 10 games we have to look forward to this evening (with home teams listed first):

  • Hawks (-6.5) vs. Raptors
  • 76ers (+3.5) vs. Cavaliers
  • Pelicans (-2.5)vs. Heat
  • Thunder (-14.5) vs. Wizards
  • Grizzlies (+9.5) vs. Clippers
  • Rockets (+3.5)vs. Suns
  • Blazers (+9.5)vs. Nuggets
  • Warriors (-13.5) vs. Hornets
  • Wolves (-4.5) vs. Bucks
  • Lakers (-8.5) vs. Spurs

That's a pretty legit 10-game offering, and we can't wait to get some bets in. Let's unveil our best moneyline and spreadbets from BetMGM, and boost our bankroll heading into the weekend.

NBA predictions, best bets today (2/23):

Cavaliers (-3.5) at 76ers

The Cavaliers have won nine of their past 10 games and 18 of their last 20, they've got Darius Garland andEvan Mobley back healthy, and Donovan Mitchell has emerged as a dark-horse MVP candidate. Meanwhile, the Sixers have dropped eight of their past 11 andhave looked lost without reigning MVP Joel Embiid (meniscus) over the past three-plus weeks. These teams are the definition of the sports term "moving in opposite directions," and Philadelphia is about to learn just how bad it misses JoJo tonight.

MORE: 2023-24 NBA MVP rankings update| Joel Embiid injury timetable

Both these squads are on the tail end of a back-to-back, with the Cavs coming off a 116-109 lossto Orlando and the Sixers on the heels of a 110-96 loss to the Knicks. The big difference between those two Ls: Cleveland was without Donovan Mitchell (illness) and most likely gets him back tonight. Philly, meanwhile, ain't getting Embiid back anytime soon.

In almost every betting situation, the wise decision when analyzing a matchup of two teams on the tail end of back-to-backs is to wager on the better, hotter, and deeper team. Cleveland checks all those boxes, and we can't imagine betting against the visiting favorites this evening. Even if Spida stays sick and sidelined, the Cavs can beat these broken Sixers.

MORE:Cavs-76ers full betting preview

Pelicans (-150) vs. Heat

The Heat did well to improve during the trade-deadline period, and we wouldn't be surprised in the least if Miami once again finds itself contending for a championship this June. However, things like this take time to materialize (remember where the eventual Eastern Conference-champion Heat were at this point last season!?). We don't like the visiting underdogs' chances of stealing a win in New Orleans this evening.

Erik Spoelstra's Miami squad is facing the level of injury issues right now that Willie Green's Pels have faced in the past. Deadline acquisition Terry Rozier (knee), Tyler Herro (foot), and Josh Richardson (shoulder) could all miss tonight's game, bad-news bears against a NOLA team that has won seven of its past 10 games and 16 of its 26 home contests on the season.

We'll bet the moneyline rather than the -2.5 just because Miami always seems to find a way to make things interesting, but we like the Pelicans to ultimately emerge victorious here.

MORE: Expert predictions for final stretch of NBA season

Wolves -4.5 vs. Bucks

Newsflash: the Wolves are legit this season. Rudy Gobert is the runaway favorite to winDefensive Player of the Year, Anthony Edwards is a dark-horse MVP candidate, and Chris Finch could easily come away with Coach of the Year honors. Oh, and Karl-Anthony Towns, infamous 50-point scorer in possibly the worst All-Star Game of all time, is shooting 43.7 percent from three-point land.

That's the best we've ever seen KAT shoot as a pro, and Minnesota is playing the best basketball since Kevin Garnett's MVP season (well,statistically, better). Still, the Wolves need to stack up some more signature wins before NBA media starts to really take this team seriously, and a victory over Giannis, Dame, and the Bucks would definitely constitute as one of those.

Look for KAT to fill it up from outside, Gobert to lock down the lane, and x-factor point guard to run circles around Milwaukee's hapless backcourt defense. Excuse factory Doc Rivers(or should I call him Glenn 'Big Baby' Rivers?) has said he wouldn't wish his job on anyone (coaching Giannis is hard, wah) — just wait until Minnesota rolls the Bucks into oblivion on national television.

READ MORE: Full Bucks vs. Wolves betting preview

NBA predictions, best bets today (2/23): Cavaliers, Pelicans highlight picks against the spread and moneyline | Sporting News (2024)

FAQs

What is the most accurate NBA prediction site? ›

The tipsters at Oddspedia are the best in the industry, and you can even track the progress of their successful betting predictions. With so many competitions for cash prizes, Oddspedia is able to attract the top NBA forecasters.

What is the best bet on basketball? ›

  • The point spread betting is the easiest ways to bet on basketball and essentially means picking the winner of the game but with a point handicap. ...
  • Totals are the second most played basketball market when it comes to guessing basketball match results. ...
  • Moneyline wagers are another popular form of betting on basketball.

How do you predict and win a basketball game? ›

Our 4 tips before making your basketball predictions tonight
  1. Tip #1: Sign up for the best bookmakers. ...
  2. Tip # 2: Back the Bookmakers Favourites. ...
  3. Tip #3: Keep Up to date with the form of the team. ...
  4. Tip #4: Consider the motivation of teams and players.

How do you win a spread bet in the NBA? ›

NBA Spread

Sportsbooks assign a certain amount of points for the favorite to “cover,” or win by, for the bet to cash. For example, say the Boston Celtics are favored by 9.5 points against the Washington Wizards. In that case, the Celtics must win by at least 10 points to cover the spread.

Which prediction site is the most accurate? ›

EaglePredict is the best football prediction site in the world with over 89.9% accuracy rate in our football betting tips.

Who are the best NBA bettors? ›

Top Handicappers for the Current NBA Season
RankHandicapperProfit
1Jack Jones$3,595
2John Martin$2,843
3Big Al McMordie$2,650
4Alex Smart$1,543
6 more rows

What is the website that predicts basketball? ›

Oddspedia has extensive coverage of basketball. As such, we have reliable predictions and tips for different basketball games.

How can I predict a game correctly? ›

Experts predicts based on following points.
  1. Current form of team.
  2. Form of players.
  3. Playing conditions (Home or away match)
  4. Injuries and previous record against opponent.
  5. Ground records(ie, if ground has low goal scoring ratio then you can't predict who would be a goal scorer).
  6. Past records against rival club.
Nov 26, 2023

What is the best way to win a basketball game? ›

Based on statistical analyses, the four most important keys for team success in basketball and their relative weights, in parentheses, are:
  1. Shoot a high field goal percentage (10).
  2. Do not commit turnovers (5-6).
  3. Get offensive rebounds (4-5).
  4. Get to the foul line frequently (2-3).

How often do heavy favorites win in the NBA? ›

Over the past five seasons, 67.01% of favorites have been successful in the NBA regular season. Home favorites have a slightly higher success rate than those on the road, with 68.66% of home favorites winning compared to 64.27% of those on the road.

What is the easiest bet on the NBA? ›

Moneylines. While point spread bets are most popular, moneylines are much easier to understand, which makes them a great option for beginners that are just learning how to bet on NBA games.

What happens if you bet $100 on a money line? ›

What happens if you bet $100 on a moneyline? If you bet $100 on a moneyline, you might win some money or lose your wager. If the odds for your moneyline bet were +100, you would profit $100 if the team you backed won. If they lose, you are out $100.

What is the best website for NBA stats? ›

Stat Resources
  • Basketball-Reference.com: Hub for plenty of different tools. Player pages. ...
  • ESPN.com: Real plus/minus. ...
  • Inpredictable: Win probabilities. ...
  • NBA.com: Hub for plenty of different tools. ...
  • NBA Math: ...
  • NBA Miner: lots of fun, random stats.
  • NBA Savant: ...
  • nbawowy: advanced lineup searches and stats.

What are the best sports prediction sites? ›

AI Sports Betting Prediction Site Comparison
RankAI Sports Betting Prediction SiteSports Covered
#1BetIdeasSoccer
#2Leans.AINFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, NCAAF, NCAAB
#3DeepBettingSoccer
#4Infinity Sports AINBA, MLB
1 more row
May 31, 2024

What is the best NBA website? ›

NBA Blogs
  1. NBA.com. The official site of the National Basketball Association. ...
  2. Bleacher Report | NBA. Be the best NBA fan you can be with Bleacher Report. ...
  3. ESPN | NBA. ...
  4. CBS Sports | NBA. ...
  5. FOX Sports | NBA. ...
  6. 6. Yahoo! Sports » NBA. ...
  7. HoopsHype. ...
  8. Sky Sports » NBA.

How accurate are NBA odds? ›

How accurate are NBA odds? NBA odds are assigned by expert oddsmakers, reflecting a variety of factors including team performance, statistical data and scheduling. Historical data shows that the over/under lines are particularly precise, with the over winning 49.7% and the under hitting 50.3% since 2003.

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